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Preview: UFC Fight Night 209 Prelims

Imavov vs. Buckley


Middleweights

#12 MW | Nassourdine Imavov (11-3, 3-1 UFC) vs. Joaquin Buckley (15-4, 5-2 UFC)

ODDS: Imavov (-255), Buckley (+215)

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This is a big spot for Imavov, who has impressed thus far in his UFC career. Imavov, who was born in Dagestan but fights out of and represents France, had some questions upon hitting the UFC. He was not tested against a particularly strong level of competition outside of his last regional fight, and his sniping approach appeared to leave some defensive openings that faster and more potent fighters could exploit. Instead, everything has clicked for Imavov. After a narrow loss to Phil Hawes that saw him hold up against some impressive offense, he has laid beatings on Ian Heinisch and Edmen Shahbazyan. Imavov hits hard and can hold his own as a wrestler. Having proven he can take a shot, there is a lot here to work with for the 26-year-old. However, those wins over Heinisch and Shahbazyan do come with some questions, as they came against opponents who hit a clear breaking point against Imavov. A win against the much more persistent Buckley—in Imavov’s home base of Paris, no less—would prove much for the adopted Frenchman. In retrospect, it is a bit weird that Buckley was one of the most talked-about fighters on the UFC roster for a few months. He was a solid prospect, but an October 2020 spinning kick knockout of Impa Kasanganay was one of the best highlights in the history of the sport and gained “New Mansa” a great deal of attention. To the credit of both Buckley and the UFC, the company struck while the iron was hot and put him in some prominent-but-winnable fights in short order. After suffering a stunning upset knockout against Alessio Di Chirico in January 2021, Buckley vanished for a bit and was basically part of the middleweight pack upon his return. Buckley is slowly evolving as he tries some different ideas, but at its core, his game is still about blitzing forward with power. His February win over Abdul Razak Alhassan was an extremely ugly affair, but his doctor stoppage victory over Albert Duraev in June was a reminder of how much damage Buckley can cause if given the opportunity. That makes this a sneakily difficult test for Imavov despite theoretically being a step back from Shahbazyan. It is going to take Imavov longer than before to turn the tide, and he is likely to eat a lot of offense before being able to do so. There is a chance that Imavov can blast Buckley with a counter—after all, Di Chirico managed to do so—but the bet is that the American can make his pressure and takedown defense work enough to separate himself on the scorecards early, even if the favorite should settle into a rhythm late. The pick is Buckley via decision.



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